Originally posted: September 7, 2016
Blaine Gabbert (SF vs. LA) – Gabbert had a good fantasy day against the Rams in Week Seventeen last year thanks to volume (44 pass attempts). He racked up 354 yards with a TD and 22.4 FP. We love volume players and Gabbert’s 49ers should see an increase in the number of plays they run this year. How successful those plays will be could be another story.
Jameis Winston (TB @ ATL) – Winston threw for a score and ran for a score in each of his two starts against Atlanta last year. He only averaged 202 passing yards in those games but thanks to his legs he averaged 22.1 FPG.
Matt Ryan (ATL vs TB) – Ryan has had trouble recently on the road against Tampa Bay but at home he has historically been strong in this matchup. He has thrown for at least 270 yards with multiple TDs against the Bucs in Atlanta in three straight (26.4 FPG).
Todd Gurley (LA vs. SF) – Gurley powered his way to 23.6 FP against San Francisco in their Week Eight meeting last season. He carried 20 times for 133 yards and a TD and caught all three of his pass targets for 13 yards. He sat out their Week Seventeen rematch.
Devonta Freeman (ATL vs. TB) – Freeman averaged 19.7 FP in two games against the Bucs last year on the strength of a whopping 16 total receptions in those meetings. He didn’t score in either game but did total more than 100 yards with at least 6 receptions in each.
Spencer Ware (KC vs. SD) – Ware averaged 14.2 FPG in two games last year on the strength of the 2 TDs he scored in their Week Eleven matchup. He wasn’t as much of a factor in their Week Fourteen tilt carrying 8 times for 52 yards (5.2 FP).
Doug Martin (TB @ ATL) – The volume has been there for Martin against the Falcons as he racked up 50 total touches in their two meetings last year. As usual with Martin, it comes down to whether or not he scores and he did in their most recent matchup in Week Thirteen (25/95/1 and 17.0 FP).
Rashad Jennings (NYG @ DAL) – Jennings only touched the ball 5 times in the most recent Giants/Cowboys game, but if we look at the previous three meetings in which Jennings touched the ball at least 13 times, he produced more than 10 FP each time.
Julio Jones (ATL vs. TB) – Julio has been a Buc killer over the last couple of seasons averaging 17.1 FPG. He’s caught at least 8 balls in four straight games against them and his performances in this series in home games have been monstrous. He caught at least 9 passes for at least 160 yards with at least 1 TD good for at least 34 FP in each of his last two home games against the Bucs.
Dez Bryant (DAL vs. NYG) – Dez didn’t do anything of note against the Giants the only time he faced them last year (5/48) but he torched them for 24+ FP in each of his previous two games against them.
Tavon Austin (LA vs. SF) – Austin averaged 19.6 FPG in two games against the 49ers last year on an average of 9 touches per game. It seems like they’ve gradually figured out how to use him and his big contract extension suggests he will be featured moving forward.
Jacob Tamme (ATL vs. TB) – Tamme went off for the Falcons with a 10/103/1 stat line at home against the Bucs in Week Eight last season. He was much less of a factor when they faced off again in Week Thirteen in Tampa Bay but the Falcons passing game has been very up and down in this series, putting up big numbers when the game is in Atlanta.
Jason Witten (DAL vs. NYG) – Witten averaged 19.7 FPG in two games against the Giants last year catching at least 6 balls in each. Witten scored only 3 TDs all of last season but two of them were against the Giants.
Case Keenum (LA vs. SF) – Keenum had a weak outing against the Niners in Week Seventeen last year that resulted in a paltry 11.8 FP. He threw for just 231 with 0 TDs even though he attempted 37 passes.
Philip Rivers (SD @ KC) – The Chiefs have had Rivers’ number in recent seasons. In fact, Rivers has failed to throw a TD pass in three straight games against the Chiefs. Going back even further, Rivers has produced fewer than 20 FP in nine of his last 11 games in this series.
Alex Smith (KC vs. SD) – Smith hasn’t been worth a start against the Chargers in his last three games against them over the last couple of years (17.2 FPG). While he’s been very efficient in those games, completing better than 71% of his passes, the volume (25 ATT/G) and the TDs haven’t been there.
Eli Manning (NYG @ DAL) – Eli was dreadful for fantasy in his two starts against the ‘Boys last year. He threw for fewer than 200 yards with 0 TDs while completing fewer than 56% of his passes in each game.
Carlos Hyde (SF @ LA) – Hyde managed just 37 total yards on 15 touches over two games against the Rams last year (2.9 FPG). It’s a tough matchup for sure and he’s coming off a concussion so it’s not an ideal spot for him this week.
Danny Woodhead (SD @ KC) – Woodhead had two of his least productive outings in recent memory against the Chiefs last year. He failed to crack 20 total yards in either game and averaged just 3.5 FPG.
Charles Sims (TB @ ATL) – Sims hasn’t been much of a factor in any of three career games against the Falcons, failing to reach 10 FP in each meeting (7.8 FPG).
Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG @ DAL) – OBJ started his career against the Cowboys by scoring 2 TDs in each of his 2014 games against them (28.6 FPG). The story was quite a bit different in 2015 however as he failed to reach even 45 yards or score in either game (8.5 FPG).
Travis Benjamin (SD @ KC) – Benjamin was a non-factor as a Brown last year when they faced the Chiefs in Week Sixteen. He caught just 2 of his 5 targets for 20 yards (4.0 FP).
Brandon LaFell (CIN @ NYJ) – Last year as a New England Patriot, LaFell combined to catch just 3 of his 9 targets for a total of 44 yards in two games against the Jets (4.2 FPG). He has never scored or topped 65 yards in any of his six career games against them.
Travis Kelce (KC vs. SD) – Kelce didn’t score or reach 50 yards in either of the Chiefs’ two matchups with the Chargers last year (7.2 FPG).
Source: Fantasy Guru
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